SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Start with provenance before arithmetic.
INPUT AND EVIDENCE LEDGER
Classify every field before using it.
| Field | Value | Origin |
|---|---|---|
| Metro areas | 387 | BLS release universe |
| Lower than a year earlier | 241 | BLS |
| Higher than a year earlier | 128 | BLS |
| Unchanged | 18 | BLS |
REPRODUCIBLE WORK
Run the quality-control chain.
| Check | Formula or rule | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Coverage check | 241 + 128 + 18 | 387; categories reconcile |
| Lower share | 241 ÷ 387 | 62.3% |
| Higher share | 128 ÷ 387 | 33.1% |
| Unchanged share | 18 ÷ 387 | 4.7% after rounding |
DECISION READING
The audit finding.
Most metros improved on this measure, but one-third worsened. MOVE should display the destination metro's own observation and date instead of translating the national majority into a claim about one user's job security.
OWNER AUTHORIZATION + VERIFICATION RECORD
One accountable operator and a reproducible check record.
The TOOOLBOX site owner authorized this publication scope and remains the correction contact. The checks below were completed during preparation with AI-assisted implementation; they are an audit record, not a claim of licensed professional review.
- Review ID
- TB-MOVE-19-20260902
- Owner role
- TOOOLBOX site owner and developer
- Release scope
- Owner-authorized · 2026-09-02
- Correction channel
- Public contact page
- Reconciled the three BLS categories to the 387-area total.
- Recomputed all percentages from the published counts.
- Removed language that could imply a forecast for a specific worker.
BOUNDARIES
What passed data checks still cannot prove.
- The counts do not identify a user's occupation or employer risk.
- Year-over-year direction is not a wage forecast.
- A metro average can hide large local differences.
SENSITIVITY
Failure modes to retest.
- Unemployment rate and payroll employment answer different questions.
- Monthly estimates can be revised and can be noisy for smaller areas.
- Occupation-specific prospects can diverge from the overall metro rate.
MORE MOVE DECISION NOTES
Compare another evidence pattern.
The related notes deliberately use different questions, data states, and editorial forms.